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2024-12-14 00:06:49

The central government has decided to adjust the fiscal policy for next year: increase the deficit, special national debt and special debt quota. According to CCTV news broadcast, the Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. When deploying the fiscal policy for next year, the meeting said that it is necessary to implement a more active fiscal policy, improve the fiscal deficit ratio, increase the issuance of ultra-long-term special government bonds, increase the issuance and use of local government special bonds, optimize the fiscal expenditure structure, and firmly grasp the bottom line of "three guarantees" at the grassroots level. According to the above-mentioned meeting arrangements, in 2025, deficit ratio will exceed 3%, ultra-long-term special national debt will exceed 1 trillion yuan, and the amount of new special debt will also exceed 3.9 trillion yuan. This means that fiscal policy will be more active next year. This is also in line with market expectations. A number of interviewed finance and taxation experts predict that deficit ratio may be 3.5%~4% next year, the ultra-long-term special national debt is expected to be 1.5 trillion yuan to 2 trillion yuan, and the amount of special debt is expected to be around 4.5 trillion yuan. Of course, this is only an expert's prediction or suggestion, and the final actual relevant data still needs to be announced during the National People's Congress in March next year. (CBN)Morgan Stanley upgraded the rating of Jingao Technology to over-allocation, with a target price of RMB 27.36. Tongwei shares will be upgraded to overweight with a target price of RMB 39.53.Erdogan, Turkey: Thanks to the leaders of Somalia and Ethiopia for achieving historical reconciliation.


Antong Holdings: The 10 million shares held by shareholder Guo Dongsheng were transferred by judicial force, and Antong Holdings (600179.SH) issued an announcement. Recently, the company learned that the 10 million shares of the company's restricted shares held by shareholder Guo Dongsheng were transferred to the name of Guangdong Huaxing Bank Co., Ltd. by judicial force, so Guo Dongsheng passively reduced his holding of 10 million shares of the company. The shares transferred this time account for 5.74% of the total shares held by the company and 0.24% of the total shares of the company.The yield of 20/30-year US Treasury bonds rose by more than 5 basis points on the release date of US CPI inflation data. Investors also paid attention to oil prices and Yellen's new debt supply. At the end of new york on Wednesday (December 11), the yield of US 10-year benchmark government bonds rose by 3.89 basis points to 4.2652%. After the release of US CPI inflation data at 21:30 Beijing time, it plunged significantly and refreshed at 22:41 (the beginning of US stock market). Then it rebounded, and the results released at 02:00 showed that the auction of 10-year US bonds was strong, the bid multiple reached a new high since 2016, and the yield reached 4.2750% at 03:00. The yield of two-year US bonds rose by 1.02 basis points to 4.1532%, and reached 4.1741% at 21:17 (less than a quarter of an hour before the release of the US CPI data). After the data was released, it plunged, and reached 4.0969% at 22:41, and then gradually rebounded.US stocks closed: Nasdaq stood at 20,000 points for the first time in history, and star technology stocks such as Google and Tesla hit record highs. US stocks closed mixed, with the Dow down 0.22%, the S&P 500 index up 0.82% and the Nasdaq up 1.77%, breaking through 20,000 points for the first time and hitting a new record high. Star technology stocks are climbing, with Tesla, Google, Amazon, Meta and Netflix all hitting record highs. Among them, Tesla and Google rose by nearly 6%, while Amazon, Meta and Nai soared by more than 2%. Bitcoin regained its position of $100,000, and cryptocurrency concept stocks soared collectively. MicroStrategy rose by more than 9%, Riot Platforms rose by more than 6%, and Bit Digital and Coinbase rose by nearly 4%. Gold and silver mining stocks generally rose, Cordillen Mining rose more than 5%, Pan American Silver rose more than 3%, and harmony Gold and Hekela Mining rose nearly 3%.


The concept of high-speed copper connection is very popular. Recently, benefiting from the explosive demand growth of AI computing power, the market funds focus on the supporting concept of high-speed copper connection in the upper reaches of NVIDIA. On December 11th, a number of high-speed copper connection concept stocks rose sharply, with Zhaolong Interconnect rising by 12.58%, Woer Nuclear Materials by 8.70%, Shenyu Shares by 4.77% and Derun Electronics by 4.99%. High-speed copper connection, also known as high-speed connector, is a core data transmission component, which constitutes an efficient signal transmission system. Manager Public Offering of Fund said that the concept stocks of high-speed copper connection continued to rise, which actually benefited from the explosion of demand for AI computing power. Invista once introduced at GTC2024 that NVL72 uses copper cable interconnection to save costs significantly compared with optical modules. Shanxi Securities predicts that the new market of high-speed copper cable brought by GB200 will be close to 6 billion US dollars in 2025, and the usage scenarios of high-speed copper cable will continue to expand. It is found that a number of public and private equity funds have heavily invested in the concept stocks of high-speed copper connections that have risen recently in the third quarter. There are also fund managers who heavily invested in related stocks in the second quarter, but significantly reduced their positions in the third quarter, missing the rise of concept stocks in the fourth quarter. There are also some fund managers who continue to be optimistic about the stimulation of the demand of upstream industries caused by the outbreak of AI computing power, and have successively added high-speed copper connection concept stocks. (Securities Times)Ferrous lithium phosphate has strong demand, so it is hard to hide the embarrassment of "meager profit" because the orders of enterprises are full. In December, the Ferrous lithium phosphate market continued to heat up, and most enterprises had full orders. However, contrary to the fiery market, it is still difficult for most enterprises to reverse the "meager profit" situation. "From the market situation, the growth in demand for new energy vehicles and energy storage markets has promoted the warming of the Ferrous lithium phosphate market. Most Ferrous lithium phosphate enterprises are affected by factors such as rising raw material prices, weak bargaining power of products and fierce competition in the industry, resulting in pressure on profits. " Researchers said that in the long run, with the technological progress and market expansion, the profitability of Ferrous lithium phosphate enterprises is expected to improve. (Securities Daily)Trump's NASA candidate called his future SpaceX mission a "question mark". On Wednesday, Jared Isaacman, a billionaire in science and technology, who was selected by President-elect Trump, said that his planned private astronaut mission with Musk's SpaceX company "may be put on hold" because he was ready to enter the government to lead NASA.

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